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Tuesday, March 9, 2021

2021 Players Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that called six golf majors - CBS Sports

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The 2021 Players Championship field features 154 of the world's best golfers vying for a $15 million purse, making it one of the most lucrative tournaments on the PGA Tour. The champion will collect $2.25 million, in addition to 600 FedEx Cup points. Play gets underway on Thursday from the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. Rory McIlroy, the 2019 winner, is the reigning champion of this event and he's being listed at 14-1 to repeat, according to the 2021 Players Championship odds at William Hill Sportsbook.

Seven of the last 10 Players Championships have been decided by two strokes or less, and with major champions like Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth in the field this week, it could be another tight finish. Before locking in your 2021 Players Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the latest golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour last June. In fact, it's up over $11,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

Last month at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, McClure nailed Daniel Berger's win at +1400 in his best bets. McClure was also all over Viktor Hovland's (+2500) victory in his best bets at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he's made in the past few months. 

After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets in that tournament. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure's best bets included Garcia winning outright. 

He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. In all, the advanced computer model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2021 Players Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model's top 2021 Players Championship predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Players Championship 2021: Bryson DeChambeau, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top 10. DeChambeau has certainly had some banner moments during the 2020-21 PGA Tour season, winning the U.S. Open to begin the season and then taking first in the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week.

But between those wins have been a few frustrating performances. He missed the cut at the Genesis Invitational in February and finished outside the top 20 at the WGC-Workday Championship and the 2020 Masters. He's been explosive off the tee, but has struggled on the greens at times, entering this tournament ranked 65th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting. The model indicates there are far better values this week at the Players Championship 2021. 

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 22-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's one of the 2021 Players Championship picks you should be all over.

Morikawa enters this week's event full of confidence. That's because the 24-year-old American has finished inside the top 10 in three of his last four starts, which includes a victory at the WGC-Workday Championship in his last outing.

Morikawa has been able to secure those positive results thanks in large part to his sensational iron play. In fact, Morikawa enters this week's event hitting over 73 percent of greens in regulation, which has helped him rack up 152 birdies in 32 rounds. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick in 2021 Players Championship bets this week.

How to make 2021 Players Championship picks

Also, the model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title, including a monster long shot. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the Players Championship 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Players Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed six golf majors and is up over $11,000 since the restart, and find out. 

2021 Players Championship odds (via William Hill)

Dustin Johnson 11-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Bryson DeChambeau 14-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Justin Thomas 20-1
Webb Simpson 22-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Tony Finau 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood 35-1
Scottie Scheffler 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sungjae Im 45-1
Paul Casey 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Joaquin Niemann 50-1
Cameron Smith 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen 55-1
Adam Scott 55-1
Will Zalatoris 60-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66-1
Jason Kokrak 66-1 
Lee Westwood 70-1
Sergio Garcia 70-1
Harris English 70-1
Max Homa 70-1
Billy Horschel 70-1
Abraham Ancer 70-1
Justin Rose 80-1
Corey Conners 80-1
Kevin Na 90-1
Francesco Molinari 90-1
Marc Leishman 100-1
Russell Henley 100-1
Lanto Griffin 100-1
Sam Burns 100-1
Si-Woo Kim 100-1
Carlos Ortiz 100-1
Kevin Kisner 100-1

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"six" - Google News
March 10, 2021 at 12:30AM
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2021 Players Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that called six golf majors - CBS Sports
"six" - Google News
https://ift.tt/3dcBbL9
https://ift.tt/2Wis8la

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