Analytics Show WR Corey Davis, Ravens Are a Good Fit
There's been a lot of talk this offseason about which free-agent wide receivers would be a good fit for the Ravens. One player frequently mentioned is Corey Davis, and NFL Network analytics expert Cynthia Frelund said the analytics support the notion that Davis and the Ravens are a good match.
Using each team's current roster (and what's missing from it), Frelund's model maximizes where each free agent would add the most wins in 2021, also taking into account scheme fit and cap space. Davis is projected to add 0.7 wins for the Ravens.
"When aligned wide last season, Davis averaged 2.8 yards per route (fifth-most among those with a minimum of 150 routes, per NGS). The Ravens averaged 1.3 yards per route with players aligned wide last season, which was the second fewest," Frelund wrote. "In other words, adding an incredibly efficient receiver to handle assignments that start from a wide alignment drives exceptional value here."
Meanwhile, ESPN's Matt Bowen identified the best scheme fits for the top free agents, and he believes Baltimore is the ideal landing spot for Kenny Golladay.
"With the need to bolster the pass game in Baltimore to make a serious run in the playoffs, the Ravens should make a run at Golladay and give quarterback Lamar Jackson a proven No.1 wide receiver with the route-running traits, size/catch radius and scoring upside to create more pass-game production," Bowen wrote.
Unlike Frelund's model, Bowen did not take cap space into consideration. The price tag for Golladay undoubtedly will be steeper than Davis'.
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March 12, 2021 at 09:34PM
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